Golden Gate Fields analysis (June 18th)
It’s closing week at Golden Gate, and below is my Wednesday analysis, complete with betting strategies.
Golden Gate Fields analysis (Wednesday, June 18, 2008)
by Jarrod Horak (racingonthenet.com, thoroughbredfever.com)
Best Bets (races 1, 3, 7)
Race 1 (Clm-16k, 3up, 6f) Number 2 Osiris Lunus (7-2) confidently double-jumps off a sharp $10k course/distance tally. Alvarado/Morey are 34% together, and I love the chances of this Tapeta loving gelding. The Plays: Number 2 to win
Race 2 (Clm-10k, 3up, 6f) Number 1 Burning Blur (5-1) drops and switches surfaces off a layoff, and he won a couple of races here over the winter. Alvarado abandons the Steve Sherman fav in favor of the Morey rail-sitter. Number 7 Man Law (2-1) is the aforementioned fav. He graduated here and is realistically spotted and well-posted. The Plays: Number 1 to win, Exacta box 1-7
Race 3 (Clm-6250k, f&m 3up, 8.5T) Number 5 Patranzi (9-2) got the job done for me at 6-1 in a Bay Meadows turf route on September 1st, and she hasn’t won since. She drops to a new low for the high % Gilchrist barn, and her sharp trainer is 44% 3rd race back. The Plays: Number 5 to win, $2 Pick Six 5/5-9/6-11/9/3/1 ($8)
Race 4 (Clm-4k, 3up, 8.5f) Number 5 Devil Cielo (3-1) drops and switches surfaces for the profitable 24% Alvarado/Hollendorfer team. His last two wins were at this course/distance. Number 9 Timeless Passion (9-5) moves from the turf and drops yet again. Amescua claimed him for $16k in February, and he hasn’t been running all that bad on the sod, so the class dive is a bit of a surprise. He’s 0-3 here. The Plays: Number 5 to win, Exacta 5-9
Race 5 (Clm-4/2L, f&m 3up, 6f) Number 11 Highjinks (3-1) has shown signs of life in both of her local outings. Alvarado sticks. Number 6 Belle of the Bay (5-2) needed her last here. She sports a bullet since for the 28% Martinez/Miyadi team. The Plays: Number 11 to win, Exacta box 6-11
Race 6 (Mcl-8k, 3yo, 8f) Number 3 Zomin Zabel (6-1) stretches out and will most likely attempt a theft. Hollendorfer is 27% 3rd off a layoff. Number 5 Plancandu (5-1) was a good 2nd at Del Mar (polytrack) 2nd time out, and he’s done nothing on dirt/turf in four starts since. Dropper may just like synthetic surfaces, and we’ll find out today. Number 9 Stanford Gold (4-5) is obvious, and Hess is 30% with this type of dropper. The Plays: Number 3 to win, small quinella 3-5, Exacta 3-5/9
Race 7 (Clm-4/3L, 3up, 8f) Number 3 D’Wildcharm (9-2) drops and stretches back out for the aforementioned Alvarado/Morey. Note that he graduated in a Golden Gate flat mile event in 2007, albeit on conventional dirt. Number 8 Coyote Moon (10-1) owns plenty of local experience and a couple of wins as well. Specht is 27% sprint to route. The Plays: Number 3 to win, Quinella 3-8, Superfecta 3-8/1-3-8/1-3-8-9/all
Race 8 (Mcl-32k, 3up, 5.5f) Number 4 Rika Jika Jack (8-1) had a troubled start in his straight maiden bow in January. Specht shows a profit with this type of returnee, and Alvarado sticks. Number 1 Salt Flat Speed (5-2) should relish this speed favoring distance and might not relinquish from the rail. Number 7 Boy Howdy (5-1) returns for the 50% Antongeorgi/Greg James tandem, and the SoCal transplant could easily be this good. The Plays: Number 4 to win, small quinella 4-7, Exacta 4-7/1
Double/Pick 3/Pick 4 contenders (in order of preference)
Race
(1) 2
(2) 1-7
(3) 5
(4) 5-9
(5) 11-6
(6) 3-5-9
(7) 3-8
(8) 4-1-7
Tags: analysis, Golden Gate Fields, Pick 6, Wednesday June 18 2008Related Stories
POSTED IN: California Racing, Handicapping, Miscellaneous, Racetracks, Synthetic Tracks
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